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Fourth Major Bank Failure Since March Creates Market Uncertainty

The housing market has seen additional turmoil as the First Republic Bank shut down, leading some to worry about the stability of financial institutions. This is the fourth major bank to fail since March, joining Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and Silvergate Bank among the ranks of failed banks. These failures have left some worried that the financial industry is in turmoil, which has had a cooling effect on the real estate market.

What Was First Republic Bank?

            The First Republic Bank was a large bank that was headquartered in San Francisco, CA, with an annual revenue of $6.75 billion as of 2022. It primarily catered to high-net-worth individuals, and had services in eleven states, including California, New York, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Oregon, and Wyoming. Among the services it provided were things like consumer banking, commercial banking, mortgage lending, and wealth management services.

Why Did it Fail?

            There are a number of factors blamed in the failure of First Republic Bank. These included a large amount of uninsured deposits from its wealthy customers, an unusually high loan-to-deposit ratio, and a lack of liquidity, which created fears of a bank run. Despite efforts by several financial institutions to prop up the bank, it saw a significant downgrade in its credit rating, and was ultimately seized by the FDIC, with its assets being sold at auction to JPMorgan Chase.

How is This Affecting the Housing Market?

            This string of bank failures has caused trepidation in the housing market, as people fear taking money out of banks that may not be as stable as they appear. This has helped to suppress demand for mortgages, causing prices to dip even more than they already have. Combined with high interest rates and limited inventory, and some fear that the housing market may be due for a significant cooling period.

What Could Happen Now?

            Thus far, the banks that have failed have shared certain factors in common: a lack of liquidity, a significant amount of loans compared to their actual deposits, and a large number of uninsured accounts. Fortunately, these issues do not seem to be systemic, but they are aggravated by market conditions. If there are more major bank failures, it could lead to a crisis that could result in more instability in the future.

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